What Does 2026 Have in Store for Us – Happy Convergence or a Wild Ride?

For the third time to provoke us to shift our perspectives, I have used the Yijing and its hexagrams to point us towards flows of success and failure as we move through another 12 months of a lunar year and see history unfold around us – for better or for worse.

Recently, I sent a notice on the accuracy of my predictions for last year.

This essay relates premonitions and predictions to what we see happening now.

President Trump’s war against Iran and its leaders fit the dynamic of a Fire Horse year very well, but may not be so in line with the modalities favored by the Yijing’s hexagram 45.

More Short Videos on Relevant and Timely Topics

Here are several more short videos on relevant and timely topics.  They include:

New Book: Adam Smith and Modern Economics

On the Epstein Scandal

Media Freedom Lowers Corruption

Trump, Tariffs and the Meaning of Words

Trump and Norman Vincent Peale

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Last Year’s Yijing Predictions Largely Came to Be

The last few years, I have sought to globalize cultural analysis of the forces which move events – are they moral in any sense?  To do this, I have consulted the ancient Chinese Yijing – 64 hexagrams each of which has six lines, each representing a yin force or a yang force.  The arrangements of the lines offer a prediction as to the direction of events.  So, the hexagram associated with a particular year gives us a coherent sense of what will have effect during the year and what will be of little effect or even suffer reverse or failure during those 12 lunar months.

As midnight Monday was the end of lunar year 2025, this notice is a report on the accuracy of my predictions for that year.  I will shortly consult the Yijing again for its wisdom on what is to come during the current lunar year of 2026.

Last January, I made the following observations as to what would likely happen during 2025.  The relevant hexagram was #44.  It called things pretty much as they would happen over the year.

Here is some of what I concluded:

The fissiparous nature of the world order will frustrate the emergence of leaders with the necessary yang energies to respond to the times with alliances and collaborations.  We can expect petty squabbles, petulance, disobliging, stubborn, recalcitrant, beggar-thy-neighbor policies and decision from all quarters.  This will hinder ending the wars in Ukraine and between the Palestinians and the Jews of Israel.

In the U.S., President Trump, personally in line with yang energies, will find himself checked internationally by an unwillingness to see things his way or meet his demands.  He would be better served if he backed away from threats and punitive responses which use yin and spread his concern and compassion for others far and wide, being a partner, not a boss.  He should think of himself as a kind and gentle wind blowing freely everywhere to bring hope of change through team spirit to everyone.  He should think big and wholesomely about moving Heaven and Earth for the good of all.

In a very consequential mistake, going against this lunar year’s auspicious energy flows, was Trump’s decision in early February 2025 to impose tariffs on American imports from Canada and Mexico.  The Canadians and Mexicans immediately retaliated, setting off a trade war that will raise hard feelings, provoke anger and resentment and prevent collaboration.  Going against the yin/yang balance of this Year of the Snake will make it harder for Trump to get his way and so confront him with a loss of power and influence.

Domestically, Trump will achieve more, as he has a team in place and he engages with them, allocating responsibilities for results to others.  He is taking advantage of their willingness to work together on an agenda.  His opponents – symbolized by the first line denoting yin energy – will be unable to obstruct him.  The more he reaches out and engages (“couples,” as the hexagram says) with others, the more he will be successful.  The more he tries to impose his will on others, the less he will accomplish.  It is a year set to reward coalition building and finding the middle ground, giving advantages to all parties.

The Democratic Party, resting in the first line of the hexagram, will not get its act together.  They are out of sync with the times.  They have lost sight of Heaven and Earth and are so prevented from using the great powers of those realms to further their aspirations and their efficacy.  As Proverbs 28:19 tells us, “Where there is no vision, the people perish.”

The advantage will be to the small, the innovative, the trusting and the trustworthy, in the economy – not the behemoths of the great corporations.  Artificial intelligence will assist collaborations, as it makes useful for small businesses and entrepreneurs data multiplied by data.  Those who stand aside or refuse to align their efforts will stagnate or fail.  The flow of forces should moderate inflation and keep equity markets optimistic.  However, there will be no success in reducing debt levels.

I do not see reforms in American education, reversing recent trends of declining competence in reading, writing, mathematics and the ability to think rationally and effectively.  Fixations on “my truths” and lack of respect for merit will prevent schools, colleges and universities from engaging with and inspiring their students to benefit from primal energies and soar in their ability and their aspirations.  Those institutions, too, are stuck in the first line of the hexagram – a yin-bounded view towards life, cut off from greater yang possibilities.

Caux Round Table Principles for Moral Government Vindicated

Not often do notable events impacting the royal family of the United Kingdom and the president of the United States happen nearly simultaneously.  But both the police questioning of Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor and the U.S. Supreme Court’s invalidating national and international policies of President Trump vindicate the moral integrity of the Caux Round Table’s Principles for Moral Government.

My reassurance on this validation of our principles is as follows:

First, the Caux Round Table ethical principle that public office is a public trust was just vindicated in the United Kingdom, when the police took in for questioning Andrew Windsor-Mountbatten, former Prince of the Realm.  He was questioned on his conduct as a government official for possible misconduct in public office.

Photographer Behind Viral Ex-Prince Andrew Arrest Photo Reveals How He Got  the Historic Shot

The Caux Round Table Principles for Moral Government demand that a public office is a public trust.  Therefore, every public official is a trustee held to fiduciary duties of service and selflessness:

Fundamental Principle: Public power is held in trust for the community

Power brings responsibility.  Power is a necessary moral circumstance in that it binds the actions of one to the welfare of others.

Therefore, the power given by public office is held in trust for the benefit of the community and its citizens.  Officials are custodians only of the powers they hold.  They have no personal entitlement to office or the prerogatives thereof.

Holders of public office are accountable for their conduct while in office.  They are subject to removal for malfeasance, misfeasance or abuse of office.  The burden of proof that no malfeasance, misfeasance or abuse of office has occurred lies with the officeholder.

The state is the servant and agent of higher ends.  It is subordinate to society.  Public power is to be exercised within a framework of moral responsibility for the welfare of others.  Governments that abuse their trust shall lose their authority and may be removed from office.

And:

Public servants shall refrain from abuse of office, corruption and shall demonstrate high levels of personal integrity.

Public office is not to be used for personal advantage, financial gain or as a prerogative manipulated by arbitrary personal desire.  Corruption – financial, political and moral – is inconsistent with stewardship of public interests.  Only the rule of law is consistent with a principled approach to use of public power.

This standard of conduct for public officials we get from Cicero in his De Officiis (On Duties).  He wrote:

For the administration of the government, like the office of a trustee, must be conducted for the benefit of those entrusted to one’s care, not of those to whom it is entrusted.  Now, those who care for the interests of a part of the citizens and neglect another part, introduce into the civil service a dangerous element – dissension and party strife. (Book I, XXV, 85)

Secondly, last Friday, the U.S. Supreme Court upheld the rule of law governing the Presidency, not the arbitrary and capricious whim of a president.

According to the Caux Round Table Principles of Moral Government:

Only the rule of law is consistent with a principled approach to use of public power.

Chief Justice John Roberts for the Court wrote that President was not authorized by the Congress to declare national emergencies and pursuant to such declarations impose and then willfully modify tariffs on goods purchased by Americans.  The court declared the law to be that the Constitution gave the power to impose taxes only to the Congress and that tariffs were taxation of the American people.

Robert’s opinion said:

“Based on two words separated by 16 others in Section 1702(a)(1)(B) of IEEPA – “regulate” and “importation” – the President asserts the independent power to impose tariffs on imports from any country, of any product, at any rate, for any amount of time.  Those words cannot bear such weight.”

Thus, the Court’s opinion for a majority of justices turned on “wording,” on the rightful understanding of “words,” not just any “my truth” interpretation of words to suit an official’s pleasure, ambition, corrupt purpose or stupidity.

Roberts, thereby, refuted the Nietzschean arrogance of Humpty Dumpty when instructing Alice on the meaning of words:

“And only one for birthday presents, you know.  There’s glory for you!”

“I don’t know what you mean by “glory,” Alice said.

Humpty Dumpty smiled contemptuously.  “Of course you don’t – till I tell you.  I meant “there’s a nice knock-down argument for you!”

“But “glory” doesn’t mean “a nice knock-down argument,” Alice objected.

“When I use a word,” Humpty Dumpty said, in rather a scornful tone, “it means just what I choose it to mean – neither more nor less.”

“The question is,” said Alice, “whether you can make words mean so many different things.”

“The question is,” said Humpty Dumpty, “which is to be master – that’s all.”

To use Humpty Dumpty’s logic, we can reframe what the Supreme Court did, using its authority given by Article III of the Constitution, when it decided what was to be the meaning of certain words in a statute passed by Congress, was to assume the right to be “master.”

As far as his tariffs were concerned, President Trump was not “master” of defining legislative language.

The Supreme Court held that, in a case about taxation of the people, President Trump was ruled by law, not his individual arbitrary and capricious will.  He has no authority to impose taxes:

“,,, the Framers gave Congress “alone . . . access to the pockets of the people.”  The Federalist No. 48, at 310 (J. Madison); see also Declaration of Independence ¶19.  They required “All Bills for raising Revenue [to] originate in the House of Representatives.”  U. S. Const., Art. I, §7, cl. 1.  And in doing so, they ensured that only the House could “propose the supplies requisite for the support of government,” thereby reducing “all the overgrown prerogatives of the other branches.”  The Federalist No. 58, at 359 (J. Madison).  They did not vest any part of the taxing power in the Executive Branch.  See Nicol, 173 U. S., at 515 (“[T]he whole power of taxation rests with Congress”).

No quibbling possible here; no lawyering that black can mean white or that white can mean black.

The Court ruled that the President’s authority under Article II of the Constitution to manage the nation’s foreign affairs did not include any authority at all to override a separate constitutional provision on taxation.

Placing executive officials under the rule of law has long been the rule of governance in England.  Writing of English constitutional law around 1250, Henry De Bracton stated that, “The king must not be under man, but under God and under the law because law makes the king. … for there is no king where will rules rather than law.” … The king has a superior, namely God.  Also, the law by which he is made king.  Also, his council, namely the earls and barons because if he is without bridle, that is without law, they ought to put a bridle on him.”

In 1399, Richard II, King of England, was deposed as king.  Article 33 of the articles presented to justify his being deposed said this about his not following the rule of law, of not having the law as a bridle:

The king did not wish to preserve or protect the just laws and customs of this kingdom, but to do what struck his fancy according to his arbitrary will.  When frequently the justices and others of the council explained and declared the laws of the realm to him and when according to those laws he was to grant justice to those seeking it, he said expressly with a hard and a bold countenance that the laws were in his mouth and sometimes he said that they were in his heart and that he alone could change and establish the laws of the realm.  Following that opinion, he did not grant justice to many of his liegemen, but through threats and terrors he compelled many to cease asking for common justice.

In an interview with the New York Times last month, President Trump said that the only constraint to his power as president is “my own morality, my own mind.”

“It’s the only thing that can stop me,” Trump said, adding: “I’m not looking to hurt people.”  He went on to concede “I do” in regards to whether his administration needed to adhere to international law, but said: “It depends on what your definition of international law is.”

Trump, who spoke to the newspaper as his administration looks into “a range of options” in attempts to gain control of Greenland, also emphasized the importance of ownership.

“Ownership is very important,” Trump said, adding: “Because that’s what I feel is psychologically needed for success.  I think that ownership gives you a thing that you can’t do with, you’re talking about a lease or a treaty.  Ownership gives you things and elements that you can’t get from just signing a document.”

Note that to be an owner makes you a “master.”

Friedrich Nietzsche’s philosophy of the will to power, which legitimated ungoverned mastery dripping with arrogance and intolerance, would not tolerate any subordination of the individual to the rule of law.

Trump’s response to the Supreme Court’s decision to deny him the power to impose taxes on the American people was Humpty Dumpty-ish, putting labels on the justices who refused to accept his way of thinking:

“I’m ashamed of certain members of the court, absolutely ashamed for not having the courage to do what’s right for our country.”  The justices in the majority are a “disgrace to our nation” and “very unpatriotic and disloyal to the Constitution.”  “They’re just being fools and lapdogs for the RINOs and the radical left Democrats.”  “It’s an embarrassment to their families, to one another.”

Speak of the Devil!

Recently, I sent around a thought on the high prices of gold and stocks of companies on the Dow Jones list asking the question of risk – what does a high price of gold tell us about the future – what goes up too fast may come down very fast.

Well, as if on cue, something happened.

Last Friday, the price of gold dropped 11% and the price of silver dropped 31%.

What moved markets, apparently, was President Trump’s pick for the next chair of the Federal Reserve.  The appointee has a reputation for holding firm against inflationary pressures and so giving strength to the value of the dollar.  If this surmise proves prescient, then the value ratio between the dollar and gold will change in favor of the dollar and the price of gold will come down.

That’s decentralized decision-making for you – the strength and sometimes the bane of free markets.

But is not the making of price convey valuable information about what might happen in the future – providing a valuable service to all – kind of a moral force in keeping hubris at a distance?